https://jbecker.dev/research/prediction-market-microstructure
Kalshi 预测市场数据分析
Kalshi 预测市场数据分析
www.jbecker.dev
The Microstructure of Wealth Transfer in Prediction Markets
Slot machines on the Las Vegas Strip return about 93 cents on the dollar. This is widely considered some of the worst odds in gambling. Yet on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction market, traders have wagered vast sums on longshot contracts with historical…
